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Forget About Black Swans; Worry About Gray Rhinos Instead

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If even ordinary investors can see black swan events coming, are “black swans” still hard to predict? And if the stock market already priced in “black swan events”, will the impact still be catastrophic?
If even ordinary investors can see black swan events coming, are “black swans” still hard to predict? And if the stock market already priced in “black swan

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